Feeling Pessimistic About West Ham
West Ham Till I Die and KUMB both have positive stories out today. Both websites seem impressed with West Ham's business during the January transfer window.
Keeping hold of Parker has obviously pleased everyone and in the signings of Keane and Bridge West Ham have secured two established Premier League players.
However to avoid relegation I think West Ham are going to have to win nearly half of their remaining 14 games. The last time West Ham were relegated we went down with 42 points and the way the league is panning out this year I think we will probably need around 42 points to stay up.
To win 7 games is going to be a massive undertaking (we have won 4 out of 24 so far). So despite the improved squad I'm still pretty pessimistic about our chances of avoiding relegation.
I admit it's been an OK transfer window for West Ham but the investment in established Premier League players should have been made in the summer.
posted by Keir Clarke @ 11:59 AM
11 comments
11 Comments:
Totally agree with your pessimism - but then that is the 'West Ham way'.
However, stranger things have happened and the next three games will tell.
Well, we have got 8 pts from our last 6 PL games, so I don't think getting 21 from our remaining 14 is too outrageous a stretch given the strengthened squad. Surely at least one of Ba and Keane will be able to actually score goals...
Plus I think it's quite possible that three of the other strugglers will cave in totally, in which case we might not need 42.
It is pessimistic when you put it like that! However, a win on Wed. takes us out of the relegation places. Once we are out, hopefully the confidence gets a little stronger and the lads can push on. COYI!
Of the bottom clubs, we have definitely done more to strengthen our squad than anyone else. And I don't count Aston Villa since I never thought they were going down. For that reason, I feel slight optimism.
My feeling is that 38 or 39 points should be sufficient. The bottom three teams are currently averaging less than a point a game. That would require us to pick up 17 points from 14 games, maybe 18. That's 6 wins or 5 wins and maybe 2 or 3 draws. ceratinaly possible. Obviously though the mroe points the better our survical chances.
What I don't like is the fact that we seen to write off games agames the top 5 plus Liverpool - we need to take points anywhere we can get them.
The next 3 games are big ones though.
Paul Anderson
42 points is needed. I don't think the other teams down there with us are as bad as last years crop. Wolves have got a bit of fight about them and at the end of the season the teams at the bottom will start pulling off unexpected wins.
....and our goal difference is/will no doubt be absolute shite...
I disagree: I don't think we will need 42pts.
But the reality is we need as many points as we can get, as no one knows with any certainty how many points will be needed.
If the points and wins are secured I suspect the goal difference will take care of itself - that can quickly improve or deteriorate as the Newcastle result showed.
Will be interesting to see who plays tomorrow. The new players will probably lack match fitness. Any news on Collison?
Paul Anderson
take Ion Duncedale and bin it. not interested
44 points required to be absolutely safe.
Next 3 games are it.
Wins against Blackpool,Birmingham and WBA is essential
If we come away with anything less we are F@@@@d
Simple!!!
Bob the Hammer
signings were good, only problem is we've still got a lame duck manager in place 'managing' (i use the term very loosely) them...i too am pessimistic
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